BUILT FOR GERMANY 40 · GER40 M15 · MORE PAIRS COMING

Algorithmic trading EA.
Dual recovery
architecture.

Not a signal. A complete trading system.

CandleHedge is a professional Expert Advisor built on MetaTrader 5, engineered specifically for the Germany 40 (GER40) on the M15 timeframe. Six years of validated backtesting. Live account verified. Additional instruments in active research — coming soon.

Get Access View Performance →
BACKTEST SUMMARY · 2020–2026
96.4%
Win Rate
+718%
Total Return
−20.3%
Max Drawdown
1,601
Total Cycles
Live account: $857.79 · 13 cycles verified · Apr 2026
LIVE EA · GER40 M15
6yr
BACKTEST · GER40 M15
96.4%
WIN RATE
−20.3%
MAX DRAWDOWN
1,601
VALIDATED CYCLES
THE SYSTEM · LIVE MT5

Dual recovery
architecture.

Two independent recovery mechanisms activate automatically when a cycle moves against its initial direction — based on live Bayesian signal analysis.

MetaTrader 5
GER40 · M15
Expert Advisor · .ex5
LIVE · MT5
TRADING
CandleHedge EA v3.25.07 live on MetaTrader 5
67.6%
BUY probability
WEAK MR
VR Regime · 0.859
0.015×1.5
Lots · BOOST 2
01
Bayesian entry signal
P ≥ 61%, confidence ≥ 11% · Pattern scan across 150 bars
02
VR regime adapts exposure
Variance Ratio classifies market · MaxLayers and lot tier adjust automatically
03
Degradation recovery
GREEN closes RED progressively · loss contained across sub-cycles
04
Reversal recovery
Signal flips · system rides the new direction with Adaptive Layers
Built for Germany 40 · NAS100 & SPX500 in research
HOW IT WORKS

Quantitative finance
in every decision.

Three independent models run on every bar — Bayesian probability, regime classification, and adaptive risk scoring. No discretion. No black box.

Bayesian Entry
Posterior probability computed from 150-bar pattern scan. Entry only when P ≥ 61% with CI width ≤ 49%.
P(buy|pattern) ≥ 0.61
Variance Ratio Regime
VR statistic classifies each bar: SMR · WMR · RND · MT · ST. MaxLayers and lot tier adapt in real time.
5 regimes · live classification
LMSR Quality–Risk
Quality–Risk delta drives lot sizing. Positive delta → boost tier. Negative delta → reduce or floor.
Δ = Quality − Risk
CAPITAL PROTECTION ARCHITECTURE
Three independent layers of drawdown control
+ full telemetry pipeline.
All three layers must fail simultaneously for an uncontrolled loss. In 1,601 backtest cycles, maximum balance drawdown was 16.9%.
L1 · PRE-ENTRY
Volatility Guard
Checks spread, ATR spike ratio, and live bar range before every entry. Blocks participation during flash crashes, news events, and abnormal sessions. No capital at risk in dangerous conditions.
L2 · IN-CYCLE
Dual Recovery
Degradation and reversal mechanisms activate when a cycle moves against its initial direction. The system restructures exposure progressively rather than closing at a fixed stop-loss. 96.4% of cycles close in profit.
L3 · PORTFOLIO
Equity Trail & Floor
Portfolio-level equity monitoring triggers a controlled close if thresholds are crossed. Partial floor recovery locks in accumulated sub-cycle profits. The system never relies on a single exit mechanism.
SYS · RESILIENCE
State Persistence
Full cycle state written to disk every bar. MT5 crash, VPS reboot, or EA reload — the system restores its exact position without manual intervention. Cycle ID, layers, and all counters preserved.
FULL TELEMETRY · 4 CSV LOGS PER RUN
Every cycle, every bar, every sub-cycle event — logged to the MT5 Common Files folder.
Buyers receive the full research pipeline — not just trade history.
CycleLog.csv
1 row per cycle
Entry probability, confidence, regime state, layer depth, MAE/MFE, close reason, P&L. Primary research dataset behind all published statistics.
BarPL.csv
1 row per bar · 119,702 rows
Floating equity, state machine, layer count, buy/sell lots, bid/ask, VR regime. Used for bar-by-bar drawdown analysis and the −20.3% max drawdown figure.
DegradLog.csv
1 row per sub-cycle event
Close P&L, running total, target profit, floating exposure, layer count, and effective lots at each degradation step. Full audit trail of the recovery mechanism.
Snapshots.csv
Daily checkpoint · L2+ cycles
Floating P&L, MAE/MFE ratio, CDI live value, regime quality/risk delta, dominant state. For monitoring deep multi-layer cycles in live trading.
5-YEAR PERFORMANCE · GERMANY 40 · GER40 M15 · 2020–2026

$800 became
$6,551.

Real equity growth across 1,601 cycles. Every data point is a closed trade from the Strategy Tester CSV log.

Equity Curve — All 1,601 Cycles
Account balance after each closed cycle · Jan 2020 – Feb 2026 · GER40 M15
Start $800
$800 → $6,551 · +718.9%
$800 $2,000 $4,000 $6,551 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Yearly P&L
Net profit per year
2020202120222023202420252026
Monthly P&L — 65 Months
Green = profitable month · Orange = drawdown month
▮ Profit ▮ Loss
2020202120222023202420252026
+718.9%
Total Return
$800 initial capital
56/65
Profitable Months
86.2% of all months
$2,017
Best Year (2025)
+30.8% on capital
-$266
Worst Month
Aug 2025 — recovered
LIVE PANEL · MT5

Full visibility.
Every bar.

Every signal, regime, risk metric and system state visible live inside MetaTrader 5. No black box — complete transparency on every bar.

LIVE MT5 PANEL
CandleHedge EA v3.25.07
CandleHedge EA v3.25.07 MT5 panel
Bayesian Probability
Live P(buy)/P(sell) with credible interval and confidence. Updated every bar.
VR Regime Classifier
SMR · WMR · RND · MT · ST — live regime controls layers and lot tier.
LMSR Quality–Risk Delta
Positive Δ → lot boost. Negative Δ → reduce or floor. Fully adaptive.
State Machine Display
IDLE / TRADING / DEGRADATION / REVERSAL with cycle ID and full P&L.
Entry Filter Status
EU:OK · US:OK · VG:OK · VGx:OK — all filters live at a glance.
Equity Tracking
Balance, equity, target, P&L progress bar and close % — every bar.
GET STARTED

Two ways to run
CandleHedge.

Subscribe to the live signal in minutes — or license the EA for full control on your own infrastructure. Both routes use the same engineered system.

FASTEST START
Copy the Live Signal
Mirror every trade automatically through MQL5 copy-trading
LIVE SNAPSHOT
Ava-Real 1-MT5
24.70%
growth · 10 weeks live
Profit trades 75.30%
Total trades 247
Profit factor 1.08
Algo trading 97%
Max drawdown 25.62%
Trades / week 34
Snapshot · last refreshed May 12, 2026 View live page →
$30
USD / month
Cancel anytime · billed monthly via MQL5
  • Every trade mirrored automatically in your MT5 account
  • Recommended account funding: 1,000 USD minimum
  • Leverage cap: 1:500 (MQL5 platform requirement)
  • VPS required for 24/5 execution
  • No EA installation needed — no setup, no configuration
Copy the Signal on MQL5 →
Subscription handled by MetaQuotes · 20% platform commission
FOR ADVANCED OPERATORS
License the EA
Run CandleHedge on your own MT5 with full parameter control
ANNUAL LICENSE · LOT-BASED PRICING
$250
USD / year · from
$250 base + $100 per additional 0.01 lot · capped at 0.10
Starter (0.01 lots)
$250/yr
Growth (0.02–0.05)
$350–$650/yr
Pro (0.06–0.10)
$750–$1,000/yr
  • Full compiled EA + optimized .set file for GER40 M15
  • Run on any broker offering GER40 — bring your own VPS
  • Full parameter access — modify, optimize, study the system
  • All version updates included during license period
  • Setup guide + parameter documentation
Request License Quote →
Account-bound license · no third-party redistribution

Which path fits you? Most subscribers start with the signal — zero technical setup, instant start, live track record visible at all times. Operators with multiple accounts, custom brokers, or who want to study the methodology choose the annual license. At 0.01 lots, the annual license ($250) is comparable to about 8 months of signal subscription.

VERIFIED LIVE BY METAQUOTES

Real-time signal data, served by MQL5.

The widget below pulls live data directly from MetaQuotes. Growth, balance, and trade activity update automatically every time this page loads.

MetaTrader World Markets

Widget data served directly by MetaQuotes Software Corp. Independent of this website.

EA LICENSE — FULL SCHEDULE

Priced by lot size. Scale as you grow.

ANNUAL LICENSE · 1 MT5 ACCOUNT · ALL UPDATES INCLUDED
LOT SIZE
ANNUAL PRICE
TARGET / CYCLE
BREAKEVEN
TIER
0.01
$250/yr
~$3.75
67 cycles
Starter
0.02
$350/yr
~$7.50
47 cycles
Growth
0.03
$450/yr
~$11.25
40 cycles
Growth
0.04
$550/yr
~$15.00
37 cycles
Growth
0.05
$650/yr
~$18.75
35 cycles
Growth
0.06
$750/yr
~$22.50
34 cycles
Pro
0.07
$850/yr
~$26.25
33 cycles
Pro
0.08
$950/yr
~$30.00
32 cycles
Pro
0.09
$1,050/yr
~$33.75
32 cycles
Pro
0.10
$1,000/yr (save $150)
~$37.50
27 cycles
Pro

Pricing formula: $250 base + $100 per additional 0.01 lot. Pro tier at 0.10 lots is capped at $1,000/yr (discounted from $1,150 incremental). Target profit per cycle based on 210 pts × lot size × point value. Breakeven calculated at 96.4% historical win rate.

RESEARCH ROADMAP
Engineered for Germany 40.
More instruments in research.
CandleHedge v3.31.00 was built and optimized specifically for the GER40 index on the M15 timeframe. The dual recovery architecture and Bayesian signal model are instrument-specific — not a generic system applied across markets. Research for additional instruments is ongoing. Each new instrument undergoes the full 5-year walk-forward validation before release.
GER40 · M15
Germany 40 Index · AvaTrade CFD
LIVE
NAS100 · M15
Nasdaq 100 · Under research
RESEARCH
SPX500 · M15
S&P 500 · Under research
RESEARCH

Ready to run a
real system?

CandleHedge is not a signal service. It is a complete algorithmic trading system — methodology documented, track record public, parameters explained. Deploy it, understand it, own it.

Get Access Now View Full Performance →
CONTACT

Questions before
you get access?

We respond to every message within 24 hours. Whether you have questions about the methodology, setup, or pricing — send a message and we will answer directly.

Email
support@candlehedge.com
Response time
Within 24 hours, Monday to Friday
MQL5 Market
Also reachable via MQL5 Market messaging

We respond to every inquiry personally. No bots, no auto-replies.